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Compare NYCFC vs Cincinnati

NYCFC vs Cincinnati Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare NYCFC vs Cincinnati: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

NYCFC NYCFC Home Team
Cincinnati Cincinnati Away Team
NYCFC
36.9
L D W W L L D L L D

Last 10 Matches

Cincinnati
52.3
W D L D W W D D D L

Performance Radar

NYCFC
Cincinnati

Categories Won

3

NYCFC

2

Draw

10

Cincinnati

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
20%

2W, 3D, 5L

30%

3W, 5D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

2.9

29 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

2.6

26 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-3

-3

+3

+3

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

90%

9 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
N. Fernández (5 goals)
Evander (9 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 13 / 2nd Half: 16
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

17%

1W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
41.0

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 54.2

54.2

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 53.6

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.22

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.02

2.73

Actual: 2.9 | Diff: +0.17

Adjusted Power Rating
36.9

Attack: 36.4, Defense: 45.5, Form: 18.2

52.3

Attack: 100, Defense: 13.9, Form: 31.3

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

1
3

16-30'

2
1

31-45'

8
3

46-60'

6
1

61-75'

3
2

76-90+'

9
NYCFC
Cincinnati
NYCFC

Power Rating Breakdown

36.9

Overall

Attack 36.4
Defense 45.5
Form 18.2
Consistency 61.3
Cincinnati

Power Rating Breakdown

52.3

Overall

Attack 100
Defense 13.9
Form 31.3
Consistency 62.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

55.0 vs 55.0

Opponent Quality

54.2 vs 53.6

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
NYCFC logo NYCFC
L
Nashville (72%)
D
New York (56%)
W
Charlotte (51%)
W
Columbus (50%)
L
DC United (46%)
L
Montréal (50%)
D
Cincinnati (53%)
L
Charlotte (46%)
Cincinnati logo Cincinnati
W
Orlando (42%)
D
San Diego (44%)
L
Inter Miami (64%)
D
Charlotte (51%)
W
Chicago (68%)
W
New York (51%)
D
NYCFC (48%)
D
Chicago (63%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Nashville A
1 - 2 L
72%
New York A
1 - 1 D
56%
Charlotte A
1 - 0 W
51%
Columbus H
3 - 0 W
50%
DC United H
0 - 2 L
46%
Montréal A
0 - 1 L
50%
Cincinnati H
4 - 4 D
53%
Charlotte H
1 - 2 L
46%
Whitecaps A
0 - 2 L
66%
St. Louis H
1 - 1 D
52%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Orlando H
6 - 2 W
42%
San Diego A
3 - 3 D
44%
Inter Miami H
3 - 5 L
64%
Charlotte A
2 - 2 D
51%
Chicago A
3 - 2 W
68%
New York H
2 - 0 W
51%
NYCFC A
4 - 4 D
48%
Chicago H
3 - 3 D
63%
Toronto A
1 - 1 D
49%
New York A
2 - 4 L
56%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Cincinnati has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 54.2) compared to NYCFC (SoS: 41.0). This means Cincinnati's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Cincinnati's attack is on another level, averaging 2.9 goals per match with Evander leading the charge with 9 goals. NYCFC manages just 1.2 per match.

Defensively, NYCFC is far superior, conceding just 1.5 goals per match with 2 clean sheets, while Cincinnati leaks 2.6 per match.

Cincinnati has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 4.1 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Cincinnati emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (52.3 vs 36.9) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

These two teams drew 4-4 in the US Major League Soccer (2026-04-23). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

NYCFC

NYCFC

VS
Cincinnati

Cincinnati

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

NYCFC

2W 3D 5L · 12 goals scored · 15 conceded

Cincinnati

3W 5D 2L · 29 goals scored · 26 conceded

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