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Compare NYCFC vs Montréal

NYCFC vs Montréal Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare NYCFC vs Montréal: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

NYCFC NYCFC Home Team
Montréal Montréal Away Team
NYCFC
46.7
D L L D W W L D W W

Last 10 Matches

Montréal
36.8
D W D D L L D D L D

Performance Radar

NYCFC
Montréal

Categories Won

11

NYCFC

3

Draw

1

Montréal

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 3D, 3L

10%

1W, 6D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
80%

8 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
N. Fernández (5 goals)
P. Owusu (7 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 13 / 2nd Half: 3
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 7 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
40.9

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 54.1

40.0

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 51.4

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.48

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.12

1.16

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: +0.14

Adjusted Power Rating
46.7

Attack: 48.5, Defense: 54.5, Form: 36.4

36.8

Attack: 39.0, Defense: 42.0, Form: 9.0

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

2
5

16-30'

1
1

31-45'

1
3

46-60'

4
2

61-75'

1

76-90+'

4
NYCFC
Montréal
NYCFC

Power Rating Breakdown

46.7

Overall

Attack 48.5
Defense 54.5
Form 36.4
Consistency 50.5
Montréal

Power Rating Breakdown

36.8

Overall

Attack 39.0
Defense 42.0
Form 9.0
Consistency 79.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

55.0 vs 55.0

Opponent Quality

54.1 vs 51.4

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
NYCFC logo NYCFC
D
New England (53%)
L
Cincinnati (61%)
L
Philadelphia (52%)
D
Toronto (44%)
W
Chicago (56%)
W
Columbus (45%)
L
Nashville (72%)
D
New York (54%)
Montréal logo Montréal
D
Galaxy (44%)
W
Columbus (45%)
D
DC United (44%)
D
New England (48%)
L
Inter Miami (60%)
L
Nashville (72%)
D
Toronto (44%)
D
DC United (48%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
New England A
1 - 1 D
53%
Cincinnati A
1 - 2 L
61%
Philadelphia H
2 - 3 L
52%
Toronto H
1 - 1 D
44%
Chicago H
3 - 1 W
56%
Columbus A
2 - 1 W
45%
Nashville A
1 - 2 L
72%
New York A
1 - 1 D
54%
Charlotte A
1 - 0 W
64%
Columbus H
3 - 0 W
40%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Galaxy H
2 - 2 D
44%
Columbus A
2 - 1 W
45%
DC United H
1 - 1 D
44%
New England H
2 - 2 D
48%
Inter Miami H
0 - 1 L
60%
Nashville A
0 - 1 L
72%
Toronto H
0 - 0 D
44%
DC United A
4 - 4 D
48%
Chicago H
0 - 2 L
56%
Portland H
2 - 2 D
53%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 40.9 vs 40.0), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

NYCFC leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.6 goals per game compared to Montréal's 1.3 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

NYCFC's backline outperforms Montréal's, with 1.2 goals conceded per match versus 1.6.

Statistical modeling projects 2.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: NYCFC has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Montréal is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. NYCFC is on the rise with 4W in last 10, while Montréal shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 9.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 75% win probability for NYCFC. In practical terms, NYCFC would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

NYCFC has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 9.9-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

NYCFC

NYCFC

VS
Montréal

Montréal

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

NYCFC

4W 3D 3L · 16 goals scored · 12 conceded

Montréal

1W 6D 3L · 13 goals scored · 16 conceded

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