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Compare NYCFC vs St. Louis

NYCFC vs St. Louis Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare NYCFC vs St. Louis: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

NYCFC NYCFC Home Team
St. Louis St. Louis Away Team
NYCFC
36.9
L D W W L L D L L D

Last 10 Matches

St. Louis
49.2
W D W W L L L D D W

Performance Radar

NYCFC
St. Louis

Categories Won

2

NYCFC

3

Draw

10

St. Louis

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
20%

2W, 3D, 5L

40%

4W, 3D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-3

-3

+1

+1

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
N. Fernández (5 goals)
M. Hartel (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 10
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

75%

3W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

17%

1W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
41.0

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 54.2

53.3

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 52.1

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.22

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.02

1.56

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.06

Adjusted Power Rating
36.9

Attack: 36.4, Defense: 45.5, Form: 18.2

49.2

Attack: 51.6, Defense: 55.1, Form: 41.3

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

1
3

16-30'

2
1

31-45'

1
3

46-60'

5
1

61-75'

2
2

76-90+'

4
NYCFC
St. Louis
NYCFC

Power Rating Breakdown

36.9

Overall

Attack 36.4
Defense 45.5
Form 18.2
Consistency 61.3
St. Louis

Power Rating Breakdown

49.2

Overall

Attack 51.6
Defense 55.1
Form 41.3
Consistency 50.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

55.0 vs 55.0

Opponent Quality

54.2 vs 52.1

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
NYCFC logo NYCFC
L
Nashville (72%)
D
New York (56%)
W
Charlotte (51%)
W
Columbus (50%)
L
DC United (46%)
L
Montréal (50%)
D
Cincinnati (53%)
L
Charlotte (46%)
St. Louis logo St. Louis
W
Austin (40%)
D
DC United (51%)
W
LAFC (46%)
W
Colorado (44%)
L
Austin (44%)
L
Earthquakes (63%)
L
Sounders (62%)
D
Dallas (62%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Nashville A
1 - 2 L
72%
New York A
1 - 1 D
56%
Charlotte A
1 - 0 W
51%
Columbus H
3 - 0 W
50%
DC United H
0 - 2 L
46%
Montréal A
0 - 1 L
50%
Cincinnati H
4 - 4 D
53%
Charlotte H
1 - 2 L
46%
Whitecaps A
0 - 2 L
66%
St. Louis H
1 - 1 D
52%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Austin H
3 - 0 W
40%
DC United A
1 - 1 D
51%
LAFC H
2 - 1 W
46%
Colorado A
1 - 0 W
44%
Austin A
0 - 2 L
44%
Earthquakes H
2 - 3 L
63%
Sounders A
1 - 4 L
62%
Dallas A
1 - 1 D
62%
NYCFC A
1 - 1 D
48%
New England H
3 - 1 W
61%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

St. Louis has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 53.3) compared to NYCFC (SoS: 41.0). This means St. Louis's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

St. Louis holds the attacking edge with 1.5 goals per match versus NYCFC's 1.2, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with NYCFC conceding 1.5 and St. Louis conceding 1.4 per match.

St. Louis has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

The home advantage factor favors St. Louis, who boasts a 75% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

St. Louis has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 12.3 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

These two teams drew 1-1 in the US Major League Soccer (2026-04-05). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

NYCFC

NYCFC

VS
St. Louis

St. Louis

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

NYCFC

2W 3D 5L · 12 goals scored · 15 conceded

St. Louis

4W 3D 3L · 15 goals scored · 14 conceded

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