NYCFC vs St. Louis Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare NYCFC vs St. Louis: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
NYCFC
Home Team
St. Louis
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
NYCFC
Draw
St. Louis
Statistical Comparison
4W, 3D, 3L
7W, 3D, 0L
16 / 10 matches
20 / 10 matches
12 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
+4
+11
2 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
2W / 4 matches
5W / 6 matches
2W / 6 matches
2W / 4 matches
League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 54.1
League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 47.5
0W / 1 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.12
Actual: 2.0 | Diff: +0.04
Attack: 48.5, Defense: 54.5, Form: 36.4
Attack: 67.0, Defense: 70.3, Form: 70.3
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
NYCFC
St. Louis
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 40.9 vs 50.5), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
St. Louis holds the attacking edge with 2.0 goals per match versus NYCFC's 1.6, though the gap isn't insurmountable.
Both defenses are comparable, with NYCFC conceding 1.2 and St. Louis conceding 0.9 per match.
St. Louis has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
St. Louis has an exceptional home record with a 83% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.9 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.
📈 Form Momentum: NYCFC has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
🔥 Form Momentum: St. Louis is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 20 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.
📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. St. Louis is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while NYCFC shows signs of decline with 4W in last 10.
💡 Why This Matters: The 23.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for St. Louis. In practical terms, St. Louis would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Based on the available data, St. Louis holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 70.0 against 46.7 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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NYCFC
St. Louis
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
NYCFC
4W 3D 3L · 16 goals scored · 12 conceded
St. Louis
7W 3D 0L · 20 goals scored · 9 conceded
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