Newcastle vs Wellington Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Newcastle vs Wellington: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Newcastle
Home Team
Wellington
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Newcastle
Draw
Wellington
Statistical Comparison
3W, 5D, 2L
4W, 2D, 4L
16 / 10 matches
10 / 10 matches
12 / 10 matches
17 / 10 matches
+4
-7
2 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
2W / 5 matches
2W / 4 matches
1W / 5 matches
2W / 6 matches
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 45.6
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 44.1
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.07
Actual: 1.0 | Diff: +0.1
Attack: 50.9, Defense: 57.2, Form: 28.6
Attack: 31.5, Defense: 41.0, Form: 37.8
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Newcastle
Wellington
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 45.4 vs 44.5), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Newcastle holds the attacking edge with 1.6 goals per match versus Wellington's 1.0, though the gap isn't insurmountable.
Defensively, Newcastle holds the advantage — allowing just 1.2 goals per game against Wellington's 1.7.
Newcastle has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Wellington has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.
💡 Why This Matters: The 9.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 75% win probability for Newcastle. In practical terms, Newcastle would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers lean toward Newcastle, with a 9.9-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Newcastle
Wellington
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Newcastle
3W 5D 2L · 16 goals scored · 12 conceded
Wellington
4W 2D 4L · 10 goals scored · 17 conceded
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