Newcastle vs West Ham Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Newcastle vs West Ham: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Newcastle
Home Team
West Ham
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Newcastle
Draw
West Ham
Statistical Comparison
3W, 5D, 2L
3W, 2D, 5L
11 / 10 matches
10 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
17 / 10 matches
+3
-7
3 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
2W / 6 matches
1W / 6 matches
1W / 4 matches
2W / 4 matches
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 46.8
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 46.8
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.1 | Diff: +0.14
Actual: 1.0 | Diff: +0.07
Attack: 35.2, Defense: 70.5, Form: 28.8
Attack: 32.0, Defense: 41.6, Form: 28.8
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Newcastle
West Ham
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 46.1 vs 46.1), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Newcastle (1.1 goals per match) and West Ham (1.0 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.
The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Newcastle — 0.8 goals conceded per game and 3 clean sheets put them well ahead of West Ham, who give up 1.7 goals per match at the other end.
Newcastle has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
West Ham has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Statistical modeling projects 2.3 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
💡 Why This Matters: The 10.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 76% win probability for Newcastle. In practical terms, Newcastle would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Newcastle has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 10.2-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Newcastle
West Ham
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Newcastle
3W 5D 2L · 11 goals scored · 8 conceded
West Ham
3W 2D 5L · 10 goals scored · 17 conceded
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