Newcastle vs Villa Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Newcastle vs Villa: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Newcastle
Home Team
Villa
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Newcastle
Draw
Villa
Statistical Comparison
3W, 2D, 5L
5W, 1D, 4L
14 / 10 matches
22 / 10 matches
13 / 10 matches
11 / 10 matches
+1
+11
1 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
3W / 5 matches
2W / 3 matches
0W / 5 matches
3W / 7 matches
League Difficulty: 87.4, Opponent Quality: 68.1
League Difficulty: 83.5, Opponent Quality: 65.4
2W / 7 matches
2W / 4 matches
Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.37
Actual: 2.2 | Diff: -0.59
Attack: 54.1, Defense: 65.7, Form: 34.8
Attack: 87.1, Defense: 75.2, Form: 59.4
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Newcastle
Villa
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 66.0 vs 68.8), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Villa leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.2 goals per game compared to Newcastle's 1.4 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.
Both defenses are comparable, with Newcastle conceding 1.3 and Villa conceding 1.1 per match.
Newcastle has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 7 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Villa has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.
📈 Form Momentum: Villa has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
💡 Why This Matters: The 18.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Villa. In practical terms, Villa would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Based on the available data, Villa holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 68.6 against 50.5 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Newcastle
Villa
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Newcastle
3W 2D 5L · 14 goals scored · 13 conceded
Villa
5W 1D 4L · 22 goals scored · 11 conceded
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