Newport vs Colchester Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Newport vs Colchester: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Newport
Home Team
Colchester
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Newport
Draw
Colchester
Statistical Comparison
4W, 3D, 3L
4W, 1D, 5L
17 / 10 matches
19 / 10 matches
20 / 10 matches
13 / 10 matches
-3
+6
2 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
2W / 4 matches
1W / 5 matches
2W / 6 matches
3W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 43.0, Opponent Quality: 45.3
League Difficulty: 43.0, Opponent Quality: 45.7
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.7 | Diff: +0.23
Actual: 1.9 | Diff: +0.27
Attack: 53.5, Defense: 31.5, Form: 37.8
Attack: 59.9, Defense: 53.6, Form: 37.8
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Newport
Colchester
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 44.4 vs 44.6), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
The attacking output of Newport and Colchester is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 1.7 and 1.9 goals per game respectively.
Colchester has the defensive edge, conceding 1.3 per match compared to Newport's 2.0.
Newport has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Colchester has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Colchester is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.
Statistical modeling projects 3.4 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
📈 Form Momentum: Newport has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
💡 Why This Matters: The 5.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 65% win probability for Colchester. In practical terms, Colchester would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers lean toward Colchester, with a 5.9-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Newport
Colchester
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Newport
4W 3D 3L · 17 goals scored · 20 conceded
Colchester
4W 1D 5L · 19 goals scored · 13 conceded
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