Nicaragua vs Guyana Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Context matters here: Guyana's schedule strength (SoS: 71.0) has been notably more demanding than Nicaragua's (SoS: 39.7), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

Guyana's attack is on another level, averaging 2.4 goals per match with O. De Rosario leading the charge (7 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

Defensively, Guyana is far superior, conceding just 0.6 goals per match with 2 clean sheets, while Nicaragua leaks 2.2 goals per match.

Guyana has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.8 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Nicaragua is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Guyana has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.4 points per game over their last 5 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Guyana is on the rise with 4W in last 5, while Nicaragua shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 66.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Guyana. In practical terms, Guyana would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Our opponent-adjusted metrics point overwhelmingly in one direction: Guyana holds a commanding advantage here. The power rating gap — 90.8 against 24.3 — reinforces what the underlying numbers already suggest, making Guyana a strong and justified favorite to win decisively.

These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - North/Central America (2025-06-07): Nicaragua defeated Guyana 1-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Nicaragua's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Guyana. Nicaragua secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Guyana will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Nicaragua will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.