Nicaragua vs Haiti Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (39.7 vs 46.6), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Haiti holds the attacking edge with 1.1 goals per match versus Nicaragua's 0.5, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Defensively, Haiti holds the advantage — allowing just 1.5 goals per game against Nicaragua's 2.2.

Statistical modeling projects 2.7 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Nicaragua is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Haiti faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.5 goals per match. If Nicaragua can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 14.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Haiti. In practical terms, Haiti would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Haiti, with a 14.0-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - North/Central America (2025-11-19): Haiti defeated Nicaragua 2-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Haiti's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Nicaragua. Haiti secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Nicaragua will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Haiti will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - North/Central America (2025-10-10): Haiti defeated Nicaragua 0-3. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Haiti's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Nicaragua. Notably, Haiti achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Nicaragua shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-3 scoreline was emphatic — Haiti completely dominated Nicaragua in that encounter, raising serious questions about Nicaragua's ability to compete at this level. Nicaragua will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Haiti will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.