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Compare Nigeria vs Ghana

Nigeria vs Ghana Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Nigeria vs Ghana: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Nigeria Nigeria Home Team
Ghana Ghana Away Team
Nigeria
84.1
W W W L W D W

Last 10 Matches

Ghana
70.9
W D W W L L W W L

Performance Radar

Nigeria
Ghana

Categories Won

8

Nigeria

2

Draw

5

Ghana

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
71%

5W, 1D, 1L

56%

5W, 1D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
1.9

13 / 7 matches

2.2

20 / 9 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.6

4 / 7 matches

1.0

9 / 9 matches

Goal Difference
+9

+9

+11

+11

Clean Sheet
43%

3 / 7 matches

44%

4 / 9 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
57%

4 / 7 matches

67%

6 / 9 matches

Both Teams to Score
43%

3 / 7 matches

33%

3 / 9 matches

Top Scorer
N/A (0 goals)
N/A (0 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 0 / 2nd Half: 13
1st Half: 0 / 2nd Half: 20
Home Win Rate
100%

3W / 3 matches

80%

4W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
74.7

League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 71.3

66.6

League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 70.3

Elite Opponent Record
71%

5W / 7 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.53

Actual: 1.9 | Diff: -0.67

2.89

Actual: 2.2 | Diff: -0.67

Adjusted Power Rating
84.1

Attack: 79.0, Defense: 99.8, Form: 88.5

70.9

Attack: 85.5, Defense: 77.7, Form: 65.3

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Nigeria
Ghana
Nigeria

Power Rating Breakdown

84.1

Overall

Attack 79.0
Defense 99.8
Form 88.5
Consistency 59.6
Ghana

Power Rating Breakdown

70.9

Overall

Attack 85.5
Defense 77.7
Form 65.3
Consistency 41.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

80.0 vs 80.0

Opponent Quality

71.3 vs 70.3

Elite Opponent Record

71% vs 40%
Nigeria logo Nigeria
W
Senegal (72%)
W
Senegal (70%)
W
Cameroon (72%)
L
Cameroon (72%)
W
Ghana (71%)
D
Portugal (71%)
W
Cameroon (71%)
Ghana logo Ghana
W
Malawi (54%)
D
Tanzania (61%)
W
Football Union of Russia (72%)
W
Hong Kong (79%)
L
England (85%)
L
Nigeria (81%)
W
Benin (63%)
W
Malawi (49%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Senegal A
3 - 0 W
72%
Senegal H
2 - 1 W
70%
Cameroon A
3 - 1 W
72%
Cameroon A
0 - 1 L
72%
Ghana H
3 - 1 W
71%
Portugal A
0 - 0 D
71%
Cameroon H
2 - 0 W
71%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Malawi A
4 - 0 W
54%
Tanzania H
0 - 0 D
61%
Football Union of Russia H
4 - 0 W
72%
Hong Kong H
4 - 0 W
79%
England A
0 - 2 L
85%
Nigeria A
1 - 3 L
81%
Benin H
4 - 2 W
63%
Malawi H
3 - 1 W
49%
Côte d'Ivoire A
0 - 1 L
89%

AI Analysis

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 74.7 vs 66.6), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Ghana leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.2 goals per game compared to Nigeria's 1.9 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Nigeria's backline outperforms Ghana's, with 0.6 goals conceded per match versus 1.0.

Nigeria has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 5 of 7 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Ghana has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Nigeria has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 2.9 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Nigeria has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.29 points per game over their last 7 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Ghana has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.78 points per game over their last 9 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 13.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 83% win probability for Nigeria. In practical terms, Nigeria would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Nigeria holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 13.2-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In their recent Internationals Women match (2025-06-29), Nigeria prevailed 3-1 against Ghana. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Nigeria secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Ghana will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Nigeria will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Nigeria

Nigeria

VS
Ghana

Ghana

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Nigeria

5W 1D 1L · 13 goals scored · 4 conceded

Ghana

5W 1D 3L · 20 goals scored · 9 conceded

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