Nigeria vs Ghana Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Nigeria vs Ghana: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Nigeria
Home Team
Ghana
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Nigeria
Draw
Ghana
Statistical Comparison
5W, 1D, 1L
5W, 1D, 3L
13 / 7 matches
20 / 9 matches
4 / 7 matches
9 / 9 matches
+9
+11
3 / 7 matches
4 / 9 matches
4 / 7 matches
6 / 9 matches
3 / 7 matches
3 / 9 matches
3W / 3 matches
4W / 5 matches
2W / 4 matches
1W / 4 matches
League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 71.3
League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 70.3
5W / 7 matches
2W / 5 matches
Actual: 1.9 | Diff: -0.67
Actual: 2.2 | Diff: -0.67
Attack: 79.0, Defense: 99.8, Form: 88.5
Attack: 85.5, Defense: 77.7, Form: 65.3
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Nigeria
Ghana
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 74.7 vs 66.6), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Ghana leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.2 goals per game compared to Nigeria's 1.9 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.
Nigeria's backline outperforms Ghana's, with 0.6 goals conceded per match versus 1.0.
Nigeria has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 5 of 7 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.
Ghana has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Nigeria has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
Statistical modeling projects 2.9 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.
📈 Form Momentum: Nigeria has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.29 points per game over their last 7 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📈 Form Momentum: Ghana has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.78 points per game over their last 9 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
💡 Why This Matters: The 13.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 83% win probability for Nigeria. In practical terms, Nigeria would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
While Nigeria holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 13.2-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.
In their recent Internationals Women match (2025-06-29), Nigeria prevailed 3-1 against Ghana. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Nigeria secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Ghana will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Nigeria will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
Nigeria
Ghana
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Nigeria
5W 1D 1L · 13 goals scored · 4 conceded
Ghana
5W 1D 3L · 20 goals scored · 9 conceded
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