N. Macedonia vs Wales Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 55.8 vs 54.5), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Wales holds the attacking edge with 1.5 goals per match versus N. Macedonia's 0.8, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Defensively, Wales holds the advantage — allowing just 1.4 goals per game against N. Macedonia's 1.8.

N. Macedonia has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.8 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: N. Macedonia is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Wales faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If N. Macedonia can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 13.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 83% win probability for Wales. In practical terms, Wales would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Wales, with a 13.2-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - European (2025-11-18): Wales defeated N. Macedonia 7-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Wales's ability to perform on the biggest stage against N. Macedonia. Wales secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 7-1 scoreline was emphatic — Wales completely dominated N. Macedonia in that encounter, raising serious questions about N. Macedonia's ability to compete at this level. N. Macedonia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Wales will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.