Northampton vs Burton Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Northampton vs Burton: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Northampton
Home Team
Burton
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Northampton
Draw
Burton
Statistical Comparison
1W, 2D, 7L
2W, 6D, 2L
9 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
19 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
-10
0
2 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
0W / 5 matches
2W / 5 matches
1W / 5 matches
0W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 57.0
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.3
0W / 1 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 0.9 | Diff: +0.01
Actual: 0.9 | Diff: +0.06
Attack: 26.4, Defense: 32.3, Form: 8.8
Attack: 28.9, Defense: 67.5, Form: 19.3
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Northampton
Burton
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 38.0 vs 46.4), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Northampton (0.9 goals per match) and Burton (0.9 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.
Burton holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.9 goals per game and recording 2 clean sheets, compared to Northampton's leaky backline that surrenders 1.9 goals per match.
Burton has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.3 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.
❄️ Form Momentum: Northampton is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
❄️ Form Momentum: Burton is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
💡 Why This Matters: The 12.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 80% win probability for Burton. In practical terms, Burton would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers lean toward Burton, with a 12.2-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Northampton
Burton
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Northampton
1W 2D 7L · 9 goals scored · 19 conceded
Burton
2W 6D 2L · 9 goals scored · 9 conceded
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