N. Ireland vs Bosnia Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 48.7 vs 38.8), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Few sides can match Bosnia in front of goal. Their 2.9 average per fixture tells the story, with M. Nikolić driving that output personally responsible for 5 goals this campaign.

Defensively, Bosnia holds the advantage — allowing just 1.0 goals per game against N. Ireland's 1.7.

N. Ireland has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 3.4 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: N. Ireland is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 9 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

💡 Why This Matters: The 20.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Bosnia. In practical terms, Bosnia would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Bosnia in this contest. Their superior power rating of 58.2, compared to 37.3 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

These two teams drew 1-1 in the UEFA Women's Nations League (2025-06-03). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.