N. Ireland vs Iceland Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

On paper, these teams are closely aligned, and the data backs that up. Raw statistics can be misleading without context, but strength-of-opponent adjustments reinforce just how competitive this matchup is. Neither side has padded their numbers against weak opposition.

N. Ireland has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 48.7 against considerably stronger competition than Iceland (SoS: 37.9). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with N. Ireland averaging 1.2 and Iceland averaging 1.1 goals per match.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with N. Ireland giving up 1.7 and Iceland giving up 1.5 per fixture.

N. Ireland has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Iceland is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 2.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: N. Ireland is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 9 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Iceland has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Iceland is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while N. Ireland shows signs of decline with 2W in last 9.

⚠️ Risk Factor: In matches this evenly balanced, the deciding factor often comes down to set pieces and individual errors. Both teams should be wary of complacency in a match where neither side has a clear edge.

💡 Why This Matters: N. Ireland's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

This is a genuine coin-flip. Both teams are remarkably evenly matched across all metrics, and the outcome will likely be decided by small margins on the day.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent UEFA Women's Nations League match (2025-10-29), Iceland prevailed 3-0 against N. Ireland. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Iceland secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — Iceland completely dominated N. Ireland in that encounter, raising serious questions about N. Ireland's ability to compete at this level. N. Ireland will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Iceland will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent UEFA Women's Nations League match (2025-10-24), Iceland prevailed 0-2 against N. Ireland. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Iceland achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against N. Ireland shows genuine quality and mental strength. N. Ireland will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Iceland will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.