N. Ireland vs Turkey Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 48.7 vs 49.5), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Turkey holds the attacking edge with 2.1 goals per match versus N. Ireland's 1.2, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Defensively, Turkey is far superior, conceding just 0.6 goals per match with 6 clean sheets, while N. Ireland leaks 1.7 goals per match.

N. Ireland has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Turkey has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Turkey is a strong road performer with a 75% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.8 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: N. Ireland is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 9 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

🔥 Form Momentum: Turkey is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 21 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Turkey is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while N. Ireland shows signs of decline with 2W in last 9.

💡 Why This Matters: The 33.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Turkey. In practical terms, Turkey would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Our opponent-adjusted metrics point overwhelmingly in one direction: Turkey holds a commanding advantage here. The power rating gap — 71.2 against 37.3 — reinforces what the underlying numbers already suggest, making Turkey a strong and justified favorite to win decisively.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-06-05): Turkey defeated N. Ireland 2-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Turkey's ability to perform on the biggest stage against N. Ireland. Turkey secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. N. Ireland will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Turkey will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-03-07): Turkey defeated N. Ireland 0-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Turkey's ability to perform on the biggest stage against N. Ireland. Notably, Turkey achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against N. Ireland shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. N. Ireland will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Turkey will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.