Norway vs Slovenia Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Norway has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 59.1) compared to Slovenia (SoS: 44.0). This means Norway's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Norway possess a formidable attacking unit, with S. Gaupset accounting for 5 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 1.6 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Norway — 1.2 goals conceded per game and 4 clean sheets put them well ahead of Slovenia, who give up 2.5 goals per match at the other end.

Norway has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 3 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.0 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Norway has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Slovenia is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Norway is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Slovenia shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 36.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Norway. In practical terms, Norway would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Norway is the clear and dominant favorite. With a power rating of 60.0 vs 23.6, and superior metrics across the board, Norway should win this comfortably.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-04-18): Norway defeated Slovenia 2-3. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Norway's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Slovenia. Notably, Norway achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Slovenia shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 2-3 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Slovenia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Norway will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-04-14): Norway defeated Slovenia 5-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Norway's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Slovenia. Norway secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 5-0 scoreline was emphatic — Norway completely dominated Slovenia in that encounter, raising serious questions about Slovenia's ability to compete at this level. Slovenia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Norway will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.