Odisha vs Mohun Bagan Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 45.9 vs 44.9), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Odisha (1.2 goals per match) and Mohun Bagan (1.4 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.

Defensively, Mohun Bagan is far superior, conceding just 0.8 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while Odisha leaks 1.6 goals per match.

Odisha has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Mohun Bagan has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Odisha is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Mohun Bagan has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 14.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Mohun Bagan. In practical terms, Mohun Bagan would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Mohun Bagan has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 14.0-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

In their recent Indian Super League match (2026-03-06), Mohun Bagan prevailed 5-1 against Odisha. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Mohun Bagan secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 5-1 scoreline was emphatic — Mohun Bagan completely dominated Odisha in that encounter, raising serious questions about Odisha's ability to compete at this level. Odisha will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Mohun Bagan will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.