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Compare OFI vs Aris

OFI vs Aris Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare OFI vs Aris: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

OFI OFI Home Team
Aris Aris Away Team
OFI
38.9
L W L L L W D W L D

Last 10 Matches

Aris
54.9
W W W W W D L D D L

Performance Radar

OFI
Aris

Categories Won

1

OFI

5

Draw

9

Aris

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 2D, 5L

50%

5W, 3D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-6

-6

+5

+5

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
T. Fountas (3 goals)
T. Kadewere (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
17%

1W / 6 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
51.7

League Difficulty: 54.9, Opponent Quality: 49.6

50.5

League Difficulty: 56.0, Opponent Quality: 46.8

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.22

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.02

1.66

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.16

Adjusted Power Rating
38.9

Attack: 40.7, Defense: 40.7, Form: 30.5

54.9

Attack: 50.2, Defense: 67.0, Form: 50.2

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

1

16-30'

3
4

31-45'

2
1

46-60'

2
4

61-75'

3
1

76-90+'

4
OFI
Aris
OFI

Power Rating Breakdown

38.9

Overall

Attack 40.7
Defense 40.7
Form 30.5
Consistency 49.3
Aris

Power Rating Breakdown

54.9

Overall

Attack 50.2
Defense 67.0
Form 50.2
Consistency 53.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

54.9 vs 56.0

Opponent Quality

49.6 vs 46.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
OFI logo OFI
L
Go Ahead (52%)
W
Volos (36%)
L
Levadiakos (51%)
L
Aris (63%)
L
Aris (58%)
W
Levadiakos (46%)
D
Volos (41%)
W
Aris (63%)
Aris logo Aris
W
Levadiakos (46%)
W
Volos (41%)
W
OFI (44%)
W
OFI (49%)
W
Volos (36%)
D
Levadiakos (51%)
L
OFI (44%)
D
Panserraikos (49%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Go Ahead A
0 - 4 L
52%
Volos H
3 - 1 W
36%
Levadiakos A
2 - 3 L
51%
Aris A
1 - 3 L
63%
Aris H
0 - 2 L
58%
Levadiakos H
2 - 0 W
46%
Volos A
1 - 1 D
41%
Aris A
2 - 0 W
63%
Olympiakos H
0 - 3 L
45%
Volos A
1 - 1 D
41%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Levadiakos H
3 - 0 W
46%
Volos A
2 - 1 W
41%
OFI H
3 - 1 W
44%
OFI A
2 - 0 W
49%
Volos H
3 - 2 W
36%
Levadiakos A
1 - 1 D
51%
OFI H
0 - 2 L
44%
Panserraikos A
0 - 0 D
49%
Atromitos H
0 - 0 D
59%
Panathinaikos A
1 - 3 L
49%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 51.7 vs 50.5), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Aris holds the attacking edge with 1.5 goals per match versus OFI's 1.2, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Aris — 1.0 goals conceded per game and 4 clean sheets put them well ahead of OFI, who give up 1.8 goals per match at the other end.

OFI has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Aris has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 2.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Aris has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 16.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Aris. In practical terms, Aris would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Aris in this contest. Their superior power rating of 54.9, compared to 38.9 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

These teams have faced each other 3 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Greek Super League match (2026-05-10), Aris prevailed 3-1 against OFI. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Aris secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. OFI will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Aris will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Greek Super League match (2026-05-03), Aris prevailed 0-2 against OFI. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Aris achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against OFI shows genuine quality and mental strength. OFI will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Aris will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Greek Super League match (2026-03-22), OFI prevailed 0-2 against Aris. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, OFI achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Aris shows genuine quality and mental strength. Aris will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. OFI will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

OFI

OFI

VS
Aris

Aris

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

OFI

3W 2D 5L · 12 goals scored · 18 conceded

Aris

5W 3D 2L · 15 goals scored · 10 conceded

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