OHL vs Charleroi Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 47.3 vs 47.4), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Offensively, OHL outperforms Charleroi with 1.7 goals per match to 1.4, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Defensively, Charleroi is far superior, conceding just 0.9 goals per match with 4 clean sheets, while OHL leaks 2.0 goals per match.

OHL has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Charleroi has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.0 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: OHL is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Charleroi has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Charleroi is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while OHL shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 13.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 84% win probability for Charleroi. In practical terms, Charleroi would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Charleroi holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 13.6-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams drew 1-1 in the Belgian First Division A (2026-05-19). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning. In their recent Belgian First Division A match (2026-04-25), Charleroi prevailed 0-2 against OHL. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Charleroi achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against OHL shows genuine quality and mental strength. OHL will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Charleroi will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.