Oleksandria vs Shakhtar D Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Oleksandria vs Shakhtar D: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Oleksandria
Home Team
Shakhtar D
Away Team
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Performance Radar
Categories Won
Oleksandria
Draw
Shakhtar D
Statistical Comparison
1W, 3D, 6L
5W, 3D, 2L
11 / 10 matches
20 / 10 matches
20 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
-9
+12
0 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
0W / 4 matches
1W / 3 matches
1W / 6 matches
4W / 7 matches
League Difficulty: 92.7, Opponent Quality: 67.6
League Difficulty: 69.5, Opponent Quality: 55.5
0W / 6 matches
1W / 2 matches
Actual: 1.1 | Diff: -0.34
Actual: 2.0 | Diff: -0.01
Attack: 40.6, Defense: 36.9, Form: 11.1
Attack: 73.1, Defense: 80.4, Form: 54.9
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Oleksandria
Shakhtar D
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 60.7 vs 59.7), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Shakhtar D leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.0 goals per game compared to Oleksandria's 1.1 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.
Shakhtar D holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.8 goals per game and recording 5 clean sheets, compared to Oleksandria's leaky backline that surrenders 2.0 goals per match.
Oleksandria has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Statistical modeling projects 2.9 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
❄️ Form Momentum: Oleksandria is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
📈 Form Momentum: Shakhtar D has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Shakhtar D is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Oleksandria shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.
💡 Why This Matters: The 30.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Shakhtar D. In practical terms, Shakhtar D would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Our opponent-adjusted metrics point overwhelmingly in one direction: Shakhtar D holds a commanding advantage here. The power rating gap — 66.5 against 35.9 — reinforces what the underlying numbers already suggest, making Shakhtar D a strong and justified favorite to win decisively.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Oleksandria
Shakhtar D
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Oleksandria
1W 3D 6L · 11 goals scored · 20 conceded
Shakhtar D
5W 3D 2L · 20 goals scored · 8 conceded
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