Lyon vs Celta Vigo Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Lyon vs Celta Vigo: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Lyon
Home Team
Celta Vigo
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Lyon
Draw
Celta Vigo
Statistical Comparison
5W, 1D, 4L
5W, 4D, 1L
17 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
18 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
-1
+7
2 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
4W / 5 matches
3W / 4 matches
1W / 5 matches
2W / 6 matches
League Difficulty: 81.1, Opponent Quality: 68.5
League Difficulty: 73.8, Opponent Quality: 63.6
1W / 4 matches
0W / 2 matches
Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.38
Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.18
Attack: 63.9, Defense: 45.1, Form: 56.4
Attack: 54.3, Defense: 71.3, Form: 50.9
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Lyon
Celta Vigo
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.
Context matters here: Lyon's schedule strength (SoS: 62.7) has been notably more demanding than Celta Vigo's (SoS: 51.8), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.
Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Lyon averaging 1.7 and Celta Vigo averaging 1.6 goals per match.
Celta Vigo holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.9 goals per game and recording 4 clean sheets, compared to Lyon's leaky backline that surrenders 1.8 goals per match.
Lyon has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Lyon has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
Statistical modeling projects 3.0 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
📈 Form Momentum: Lyon has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📈 Form Momentum: Celta Vigo has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Celta Vigo faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Lyon can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 5.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 64% win probability for Celta Vigo. In practical terms, Celta Vigo would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.
Celta Vigo has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 5.4-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Lyon
Celta Vigo
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Lyon
5W 1D 4L · 17 goals scored · 18 conceded
Celta Vigo
5W 4D 1L · 16 goals scored · 9 conceded
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