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Compare Lyon vs Toulouse

Lyon vs Toulouse Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Lyon vs Toulouse: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Lyon Lyon Home Team
Toulouse Toulouse Away Team
Lyon
53.2
L L W W W W D L L D

Last 10 Matches

Toulouse
43.2
D W W D L L L L W W

Performance Radar

Lyon
Toulouse

Categories Won

7

Lyon

3

Draw

5

Toulouse

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 2D, 4L

40%

4W, 2D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

2.1

21 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-2

-2

-6

-6

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
R. Yaremchuk (4 goals)
Emersonn (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
25%

1W / 4 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
73.9

League Difficulty: 85.9, Opponent Quality: 65.2

55.6

League Difficulty: 81.9, Opponent Quality: 65.3

Elite Opponent Record
67%

2W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.77

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.47

1.82

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.32

Adjusted Power Rating
53.2

Attack: 53.7, Defense: 62.0, Form: 49.6

43.2

Attack: 52.8, Defense: 31.7, Form: 42.2

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

5
2

16-30'

2
3

31-45'

1
3

46-60'

1
4

61-75'

1

76-90+'

5
Lyon
Toulouse
Lyon

Power Rating Breakdown

53.2

Overall

Attack 53.7
Defense 62.0
Form 49.6
Consistency 44.8
Toulouse

Power Rating Breakdown

43.2

Overall

Attack 52.8
Defense 31.7
Form 42.2
Consistency 44.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

85.9 vs 81.9

Opponent Quality

65.2 vs 65.3

Elite Opponent Record

67% vs 0%
Lyon logo Lyon
L
Lens (74%)
L
Toulouse (64%)
W
Rennes (70%)
W
Auxerre (69%)
W
Paris SG (76%)
W
Lorient (61%)
D
Angers (55%)
L
Monaco (67%)
Toulouse logo Toulouse
D
Nantes (58%)
W
Lyon (61%)
W
Strasbourg (65%)
D
Monaco (67%)
L
Lens (63%)
L
Lens (79%)
L
Lille (73%)
L
Paris SG (76%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lens H
0 - 4 L
74%
Toulouse A
1 - 2 L
64%
Rennes H
4 - 2 W
70%
Auxerre H
3 - 2 W
69%
Paris SG A
2 - 1 W
76%
Lorient H
2 - 0 W
61%
Angers A
0 - 0 D
55%
Monaco H
1 - 2 L
67%
Celta Vigo H
0 - 2 L
53%
Le Havre A
0 - 0 D
63%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Nantes A
0 - 0 D
58%
Lyon H
2 - 1 W
61%
Strasbourg A
2 - 1 W
65%
Monaco H
2 - 2 D
67%
Lens A
1 - 4 L
63%
Lens A
2 - 3 L
79%
Lille H
0 - 4 L
73%
Paris SG A
1 - 3 L
76%
Lorient H
1 - 0 W
61%
Metz A
4 - 3 W
50%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Lyon has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 73.9) compared to Toulouse (SoS: 55.6). This means Lyon's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Lyon averaging 1.3 and Toulouse averaging 1.5 goals per match.

Lyon has the defensive edge, conceding 1.5 per match compared to Toulouse's 2.1.

Lyon has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 3 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Toulouse has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Lyon has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 10.0 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

In the French Ligue 1 (2026-05-10), Toulouse beat Lyon 2-1. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Toulouse secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Lyon will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Toulouse will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Lyon

Lyon

VS
Toulouse

Toulouse

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Lyon

4W 2D 4L · 13 goals scored · 15 conceded

Toulouse

4W 2D 4L · 15 goals scored · 21 conceded

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