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Compare Pachuca vs Chivas

Pachuca vs Chivas Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Pachuca vs Chivas: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Pachuca Pachuca Home Team
Chivas Chivas Away Team
Pachuca
58.2
L W L W W W L L W W

Last 10 Matches

Chivas
41.8
W L L D W L D D W L

Performance Radar

Pachuca
Chivas

Categories Won

10

Pachuca

4

Draw

1

Chivas

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 0D, 4L

30%

3W, 3D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+5

+5

0

0

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
40%

4 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
V. Guzmán (4 goals)
S. Sandoval (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

50%

3W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
56.2

League Difficulty: 60.2, Opponent Quality: 53.5

43.4

League Difficulty: 60.2, Opponent Quality: 55.1

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.48

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.12

1.32

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.02

Adjusted Power Rating
58.2

Attack: 56.6, Defense: 67.3, Form: 63.7

41.8

Attack: 40.5, Defense: 52.9, Form: 28.0

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

2
1

16-30'

4
3

31-45'

3

46-60'

2
2

61-75'

1
3

76-90+'

4
Pachuca
Chivas
Pachuca

Power Rating Breakdown

58.2

Overall

Attack 56.6
Defense 67.3
Form 63.7
Consistency 35.2
Chivas

Power Rating Breakdown

41.8

Overall

Attack 40.5
Defense 52.9
Form 28.0
Consistency 53.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

60.2 vs 60.2

Opponent Quality

53.5 vs 55.1

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Pachuca logo Pachuca
L
Querétaro (53%)
W
Pumas (53%)
L
Pumas (61%)
W
Pumas (56%)
W
Toluca (45%)
W
Toluca (50%)
L
Pumas (56%)
L
Tijuana (68%)
Chivas logo Chivas
W
Juárez (38%)
L
Toluca (38%)
L
Cruz Azul (70%)
D
Cruz Azul (75%)
W
Tigres (53%)
L
Tigres (58%)
D
Tijuana (63%)
D
Necaxa (60%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Querétaro H
1 - 2 L
53%
Pumas A
3 - 0 W
53%
Pumas A
0 - 1 L
61%
Pumas H
1 - 0 W
56%
Toluca H
2 - 0 W
45%
Toluca A
1 - 0 W
50%
Pumas H
0 - 2 L
56%
Tijuana A
1 - 3 L
68%
Monterrey A
3 - 1 W
48%
Santos Laguna H
4 - 2 W
45%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Juárez H
1 - 0 W
38%
Toluca H
0 - 2 L
38%
Cruz Azul H
1 - 2 L
70%
Cruz Azul A
2 - 2 D
75%
Tigres H
2 - 0 W
53%
Tigres A
1 - 3 L
58%
Tijuana H
0 - 0 D
63%
Necaxa A
0 - 0 D
60%
Puebla H
5 - 0 W
38%
Tigres A
1 - 4 L
58%

AI Analysis

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Pachuca has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 56.2) compared to Chivas (SoS: 43.4). This means Pachuca's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Pachuca leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.6 goals per game compared to Chivas's 1.3 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Defensively, Pachuca and Chivas are evenly matched, allowing 1.1 and 1.3 goals per game respectively.

Pachuca has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Pachuca is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

📈 Form Momentum: Pachuca has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Pachuca is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Chivas shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 16.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Pachuca. In practical terms, Pachuca would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Pachuca in this contest. Their superior power rating of 58.2, compared to 41.8 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Pachuca

Pachuca

VS
Chivas

Chivas

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Pachuca

6W 0D 4L · 16 goals scored · 11 conceded

Chivas

3W 3D 4L · 13 goals scored · 13 conceded

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