Pachuca vs Mazatlán Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Pachuca has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 56.2 against considerably stronger competition than Mazatlán (SoS: 45.6). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

Pachuca (1.6 goals per match) and Mazatlán (1.5 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.

Defensively, Pachuca is far superior, conceding just 1.1 goals per match with 4 clean sheets, while Mazatlán leaks 2.3 goals per match.

Pachuca has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Pachuca is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.2 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Pachuca has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Pachuca is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Mazatlán shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 22.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Pachuca. In practical terms, Pachuca would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Pachuca holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 58.2 against 35.9 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

In their recent Liga MX match (2026-02-28), Mazatlán prevailed 1-0 against Pachuca. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Mazatlán secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Pachuca will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Mazatlán will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.