Pachuca vs Toluca Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Pachuca vs Toluca: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Pachuca
Home Team
Toluca
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Pachuca
Draw
Toluca
Statistical Comparison
6W, 1D, 3L
2W, 3D, 5L
15 / 10 matches
14 / 10 matches
11 / 10 matches
15 / 10 matches
+4
-1
3 / 10 matches
0 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
3W / 5 matches
2W / 5 matches
3W / 5 matches
0W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 64.0, Opponent Quality: 56.9
League Difficulty: 64.0, Opponent Quality: 56.1
1W / 1 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: +0.1
Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.06
Attack: 60.2, Defense: 76.3, Form: 72.3
Attack: 51.0, Defense: 54.6, Form: 21.9
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Pachuca
Toluca
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.
Pachuca has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 70.5) compared to Toluca (SoS: 59.3). This means Pachuca's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.
Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Pachuca averaging 1.5 and Toluca averaging 1.4 goals per match.
Pachuca has the defensive edge, conceding 1.1 per match compared to Toluca's 1.5.
Toluca has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Pachuca is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.
Pachuca emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (65.3 vs 44.7) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.
These teams have faced each other 3 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Liga MX match (2026-05-11), Pachuca prevailed 2-0 against Toluca. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Pachuca secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Toluca will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Pachuca will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Liga MX match (2026-05-04), Pachuca prevailed 0-1 against Toluca. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Pachuca achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Toluca shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Toluca will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Pachuca will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams drew 1-1 in the Liga MX (2026-03-22). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
Pachuca
Toluca
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Pachuca
6W 1D 3L · 15 goals scored · 11 conceded
Toluca
2W 3D 5L · 14 goals scored · 15 conceded
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