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Compare Pachuca vs Toluca

Pachuca vs Toluca Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Pachuca vs Toluca: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Pachuca Pachuca Home Team
Toluca Toluca Away Team
Pachuca
65.3
L W W W L L W W W D

Last 10 Matches

Toluca
44.7
L L W L L D L D D W

Performance Radar

Pachuca
Toluca

Categories Won

11

Pachuca

2

Draw

2

Toluca

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 1D, 3L

20%

2W, 3D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

-1

-1

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
V. Guzmán (4 goals)
N. Castro (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 11
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
70.5

League Difficulty: 64.0, Opponent Quality: 56.9

59.3

League Difficulty: 64.0, Opponent Quality: 56.1

Elite Opponent Record
100%

1W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.4

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: +0.1

1.46

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.06

Adjusted Power Rating
65.3

Attack: 60.2, Defense: 76.3, Form: 72.3

44.7

Attack: 51.0, Defense: 54.6, Form: 21.9

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

1

16-30'

2

31-45'

4

46-60'

6
3

61-75'

3
2

76-90+'

4
Pachuca
Toluca
Pachuca

Power Rating Breakdown

65.3

Overall

Attack 60.2
Defense 76.3
Form 72.3
Consistency 43.3
Toluca

Power Rating Breakdown

44.7

Overall

Attack 51.0
Defense 54.6
Form 21.9
Consistency 61.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

64.0 vs 64.0

Opponent Quality

56.9 vs 56.1

Elite Opponent Record

100% vs 0%
Pachuca logo Pachuca
L
Pumas (67%)
W
Pumas (62%)
W
Toluca (48%)
W
Toluca (53%)
L
Pumas (62%)
L
Tijuana (61%)
W
Monterrey (49%)
W
Santos Laguna (48%)
Toluca logo Toluca
L
Pachuca (65%)
L
Pachuca (60%)
W
León (50%)
L
Mazatlán (51%)
L
Club América (63%)
D
San Luis (49%)
L
Querétaro (60%)
D
Pachuca (65%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Pumas A
0 - 1 L
67%
Pumas H
1 - 0 W
62%
Toluca H
2 - 0 W
48%
Toluca A
1 - 0 W
53%
Pumas H
0 - 2 L
62%
Tijuana A
1 - 3 L
61%
Monterrey A
3 - 1 W
49%
Santos Laguna H
4 - 2 W
48%
Cruz Azul A
2 - 1 W
71%
Toluca H
1 - 1 D
48%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Pachuca A
0 - 2 L
65%
Pachuca H
0 - 1 L
60%
León H
4 - 1 W
50%
Mazatlán A
3 - 4 L
51%
Club América A
1 - 2 L
63%
San Luis H
1 - 1 D
49%
Querétaro A
0 - 1 L
60%
Pachuca A
1 - 1 D
65%
Atlas H
1 - 1 D
48%
Juárez H
3 - 1 W
50%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Pachuca has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 70.5) compared to Toluca (SoS: 59.3). This means Pachuca's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Pachuca averaging 1.5 and Toluca averaging 1.4 goals per match.

Pachuca has the defensive edge, conceding 1.1 per match compared to Toluca's 1.5.

Toluca has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Pachuca is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Pachuca emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (65.3 vs 44.7) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

These teams have faced each other 3 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Liga MX match (2026-05-11), Pachuca prevailed 2-0 against Toluca. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Pachuca secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Toluca will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Pachuca will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Liga MX match (2026-05-04), Pachuca prevailed 0-1 against Toluca. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Pachuca achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Toluca shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Toluca will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Pachuca will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams drew 1-1 in the Liga MX (2026-03-22). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Pachuca

Pachuca

VS
Toluca

Toluca

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Pachuca

6W 1D 3L · 15 goals scored · 11 conceded

Toluca

2W 3D 5L · 14 goals scored · 15 conceded

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