Palmeiras vs Atlético MG Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Palmeiras vs Atlético MG: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Palmeiras
Home Team
Atlético MG
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Palmeiras
Draw
Atlético MG
Statistical Comparison
5W, 4D, 1L
4W, 2D, 4L
17 / 10 matches
11 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
13 / 10 matches
+10
-2
3 / 10 matches
1 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
2W / 5 matches
2W / 5 matches
3W / 5 matches
2W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 58.8, Opponent Quality: 53.1
League Difficulty: 68.0, Opponent Quality: 60.6
1W / 1 matches
1W / 2 matches
Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.16
Actual: 1.1 | Diff: -0.11
Attack: 66.4, Defense: 89.8, Form: 58.5
Attack: 40.7, Defense: 62.8, Form: 44.4
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Palmeiras
Atlético MG
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 67.1 vs 60.9), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Palmeiras holds the attacking edge with 1.7 goals per match versus Atlético MG's 1.1, though the gap isn't insurmountable.
Palmeiras's backline outperforms Atlético MG's, with 0.7 goals conceded per match versus 1.3.
Palmeiras is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.4 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.
📈 Form Momentum: Palmeiras has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
💡 Why This Matters: The 21.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Palmeiras. In practical terms, Palmeiras would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Based on the available data, Palmeiras holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 69.1 against 47.9 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Palmeiras
Atlético MG
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Palmeiras
5W 4D 1L · 17 goals scored · 7 conceded
Atlético MG
4W 2D 4L · 11 goals scored · 13 conceded
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