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Compare Palmeiras vs Botafogo

Palmeiras vs Botafogo Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Palmeiras vs Botafogo: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Palmeiras Palmeiras Home Team
Botafogo Botafogo Away Team
Palmeiras
69.1
W W W W L D D W D D

Last 10 Matches

Botafogo
53.1
D W L D W D L D W D

Performance Radar

Palmeiras
Botafogo

Categories Won

10

Palmeiras

2

Draw

3

Botafogo

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 4D, 1L

30%

3W, 5D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.7

7 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+10

+10

+4

+4

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
30%

3 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

90%

9 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
R. Sosa (3 goals)
Arthur Cabral (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 10
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 10
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
67.1

League Difficulty: 58.8, Opponent Quality: 53.1

58.8

League Difficulty: 68.0, Opponent Quality: 52.6

Elite Opponent Record
100%

1W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.86

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.16

1.61

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: +0.09

Adjusted Power Rating
69.1

Attack: 66.4, Defense: 89.8, Form: 58.5

53.1

Attack: 61.7, Defense: 61.7, Form: 32.6

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

5
3

16-30'

1
5

31-45'

2
3

46-60'

2
3

61-75'

2
1

76-90+'

5
Palmeiras
Botafogo
Palmeiras

Power Rating Breakdown

69.1

Overall

Attack 66.4
Defense 89.8
Form 58.5
Consistency 61.3
Botafogo

Power Rating Breakdown

53.1

Overall

Attack 61.7
Defense 61.7
Form 32.6
Consistency 62.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

58.8 vs 68.0

Opponent Quality

53.1 vs 52.6

Elite Opponent Record

100% vs 0%
Palmeiras logo Palmeiras
W
Coritiba (57%)
W
Chapecoense (34%)
W
Junior (37%)
W
Flamengo (77%)
L
Cerro Porteño (53%)
D
Cruzeiro (65%)
D
Remo (56%)
W
Cristal (46%)
Botafogo logo Botafogo
D
Vitória (58%)
W
Santos (50%)
L
Bahia (58%)
D
São Paulo (51%)
W
Corinthians (60%)
D
Atlético MG (59%)
L
Remo (51%)
D
Internacional (48%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Coritiba A
3 - 1 W
57%
Chapecoense H
1 - 0 W
34%
Junior H
4 - 1 W
37%
Flamengo A
3 - 0 W
77%
Cerro Porteño H
0 - 1 L
53%
Cruzeiro H
1 - 1 D
65%
Remo A
1 - 1 D
56%
Cristal A
2 - 0 W
46%
Santos H
1 - 1 D
50%
Cerro Porteño A
1 - 1 D
56%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Vitória H
0 - 0 D
58%
Santos H
2 - 1 W
50%
Bahia A
1 - 2 L
58%
São Paulo A
1 - 1 D
51%
Corinthians H
3 - 1 W
60%
Atlético MG A
1 - 1 D
59%
Remo H
1 - 2 L
51%
Internacional H
2 - 2 D
48%
Chapecoense A
4 - 1 W
39%
Coritiba H
2 - 2 D
52%

AI Analysis

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 67.1 vs 58.8), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Palmeiras averaging 1.7 and Botafogo averaging 1.7 goals per match.

Palmeiras has the defensive edge, conceding 0.7 per match compared to Botafogo's 1.3.

Botafogo has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Palmeiras is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.7 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Palmeiras has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 16.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Palmeiras. In practical terms, Palmeiras would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Palmeiras emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (69.1 vs 53.1) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

VS
Botafogo

Botafogo

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Palmeiras

5W 4D 1L · 17 goals scored · 7 conceded

Botafogo

3W 5D 2L · 17 goals scored · 13 conceded

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