Palmeiras vs Corinthians Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Palmeiras vs Corinthians: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Palmeiras
Home Team
Corinthians
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Palmeiras
Draw
Corinthians
Statistical Comparison
5W, 4D, 1L
5W, 2D, 3L
17 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
12 / 10 matches
+10
+4
3 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
2W / 5 matches
4W / 5 matches
3W / 5 matches
1W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 58.8, Opponent Quality: 53.1
League Difficulty: 58.8, Opponent Quality: 50.9
1W / 1 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.16
Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.07
Attack: 66.4, Defense: 89.8, Form: 58.5
Attack: 55.5, Defense: 62.5, Form: 52.0
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Palmeiras
Corinthians
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.
Context matters here: Palmeiras's schedule strength (SoS: 67.1) has been notably more demanding than Corinthians's (SoS: 54.1), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.
Palmeiras (1.7 goals per match) and Corinthians (1.6 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.
Palmeiras's backline outperforms Corinthians's, with 0.7 goals conceded per match versus 1.2.
Corinthians has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Corinthians has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
Palmeiras is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.
Statistical modeling projects 2.6 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
📈 Form Momentum: Palmeiras has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📈 Form Momentum: Corinthians has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
💡 Why This Matters: The 14.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Palmeiras. In practical terms, Palmeiras would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers lean toward Palmeiras, with a 14.4-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Palmeiras
Corinthians
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Palmeiras
5W 4D 1L · 17 goals scored · 7 conceded
Corinthians
5W 2D 3L · 16 goals scored · 12 conceded
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