PAOK vs AEK Athens Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare PAOK vs AEK Athens: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
PAOK
Home Team
AEK Athens
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
PAOK
Draw
AEK Athens
Statistical Comparison
3W, 5D, 2L
6W, 3D, 1L
14 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
12 / 10 matches
10 / 10 matches
+2
+6
3 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
2W / 4 matches
3W / 4 matches
1W / 6 matches
3W / 6 matches
League Difficulty: 58.9, Opponent Quality: 52.8
League Difficulty: 58.2, Opponent Quality: 52.2
1W / 1 matches
0W / 1 matches
Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.24
Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.05
Attack: 54.6, Defense: 70.2, Form: 35.1
Attack: 48.8, Defense: 61.0, Form: 54.9
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
PAOK
AEK Athens
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
On paper, these teams are closely aligned, and the data backs that up. Raw statistics can be misleading without context, but strength-of-opponent adjustments reinforce just how competitive this matchup is. Neither side has padded their numbers against weak opposition.
PAOK has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 67.0) compared to AEK Athens (SoS: 41.5). This means PAOK's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.
The attacking output of PAOK and AEK Athens is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 1.4 and 1.6 goals per game respectively.
Defensively, PAOK and AEK Athens are evenly matched, allowing 1.2 and 1.0 goals per game respectively.
AEK Athens has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.
📈 Form Momentum: AEK Athens has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. AEK Athens is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while PAOK shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.
⚠️ Risk Factor: In matches this evenly balanced, the deciding factor often comes down to set pieces and individual errors. Both teams should be wary of complacency in a match where neither side has a clear edge.
💡 Why This Matters: PAOK's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.
This is a genuine coin-flip. Both teams are remarkably evenly matched across all metrics, and the outcome will likely be decided by small margins on the day.
These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams drew 1-1 in the Greek Super League (2026-05-13). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning. In their recent Greek Super League match (2026-04-19), AEK Athens prevailed 3-0 against PAOK. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. AEK Athens secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — AEK Athens completely dominated PAOK in that encounter, raising serious questions about PAOK's ability to compete at this level. PAOK will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. AEK Athens will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
PAOK
AEK Athens
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
PAOK
3W 5D 2L · 14 goals scored · 12 conceded
AEK Athens
6W 3D 1L · 16 goals scored · 10 conceded
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