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Compare PAOK vs AEK Athens

PAOK vs AEK Athens Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare PAOK vs AEK Athens: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

PAOK PAOK Home Team
AEK Athens AEK Athens Away Team
PAOK
53.9
W D D D W L D L W D

Last 10 Matches

AEK Athens
55.6
W W D D W D W W L W

Performance Radar

PAOK
AEK Athens

Categories Won

3

PAOK

4

Draw

8

AEK Athens

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 5D, 2L

60%

6W, 3D, 1L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+2

+2

+6

+6

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
A. Jeremejeff (4 goals)
Zine (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 12
Home Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

75%

3W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
17%

1W / 6 matches

50%

3W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
67.0

League Difficulty: 58.9, Opponent Quality: 52.8

41.5

League Difficulty: 58.2, Opponent Quality: 52.2

Elite Opponent Record
100%

1W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.64

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.24

1.65

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.05

Adjusted Power Rating
53.9

Attack: 54.6, Defense: 70.2, Form: 35.1

55.6

Attack: 48.8, Defense: 61.0, Form: 54.9

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

2
1

16-30'

2

31-45'

2
4

46-60'

1
2

61-75'

4
1

76-90+'

2
PAOK
AEK Athens
PAOK

Power Rating Breakdown

53.9

Overall

Attack 54.6
Defense 70.2
Form 35.1
Consistency 62.8
AEK Athens

Power Rating Breakdown

55.6

Overall

Attack 48.8
Defense 61.0
Form 54.9
Consistency 61.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

58.9 vs 58.2

Opponent Quality

52.8 vs 52.2

Elite Opponent Record

100% vs 0%
PAOK logo PAOK
W
Dynamo Kyiv (74%)
D
Panathinaikos (49%)
D
AEK Athens (62%)
D
Olympiakos (50%)
W
Olympiakos (45%)
L
AEK Athens (67%)
D
Panathinaikos (44%)
L
Volos (41%)
AEK Athens logo AEK Athens
W
Zwolle (40%)
W
Groningen (44%)
D
Olympiakos (45%)
D
PAOK (58%)
W
Panathinaikos (44%)
D
Panathinaikos (49%)
W
PAOK (53%)
W
Rayo (67%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Dynamo Kyiv A
3 - 2 W
74%
Panathinaikos A
2 - 2 D
49%
AEK Athens H
1 - 1 D
62%
Olympiakos A
1 - 1 D
50%
Olympiakos H
3 - 1 W
45%
AEK Athens A
0 - 3 L
67%
Panathinaikos H
0 - 0 D
44%
Volos A
1 - 2 L
41%
Levadiakos H
3 - 0 W
46%
Olympiakos A
0 - 0 D
50%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Zwolle A
3 - 2 W
40%
Groningen A
2 - 1 W
44%
Olympiakos H
1 - 1 D
45%
PAOK A
1 - 1 D
58%
Panathinaikos H
2 - 1 W
44%
Panathinaikos A
0 - 0 D
49%
PAOK H
3 - 0 W
53%
Rayo H
3 - 1 W
67%
Rayo A
0 - 3 L
72%
Olympiakos A
1 - 0 W
50%

AI Analysis

On paper, these teams are closely aligned, and the data backs that up. Raw statistics can be misleading without context, but strength-of-opponent adjustments reinforce just how competitive this matchup is. Neither side has padded their numbers against weak opposition.

PAOK has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 67.0) compared to AEK Athens (SoS: 41.5). This means PAOK's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

The attacking output of PAOK and AEK Athens is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 1.4 and 1.6 goals per game respectively.

Defensively, PAOK and AEK Athens are evenly matched, allowing 1.2 and 1.0 goals per game respectively.

AEK Athens has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: AEK Athens has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. AEK Athens is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while PAOK shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: In matches this evenly balanced, the deciding factor often comes down to set pieces and individual errors. Both teams should be wary of complacency in a match where neither side has a clear edge.

💡 Why This Matters: PAOK's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

This is a genuine coin-flip. Both teams are remarkably evenly matched across all metrics, and the outcome will likely be decided by small margins on the day.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams drew 1-1 in the Greek Super League (2026-05-13). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning. In their recent Greek Super League match (2026-04-19), AEK Athens prevailed 3-0 against PAOK. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. AEK Athens secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — AEK Athens completely dominated PAOK in that encounter, raising serious questions about PAOK's ability to compete at this level. PAOK will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. AEK Athens will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

PAOK

PAOK

VS
AEK Athens

AEK Athens

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

PAOK

3W 5D 2L · 14 goals scored · 12 conceded

AEK Athens

6W 3D 1L · 16 goals scored · 10 conceded

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