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Compare PAOK vs OFI

PAOK vs OFI Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare PAOK vs OFI: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

PAOK PAOK Home Team
OFI OFI Away Team
PAOK
53.9
W D D D W L D L W D

Last 10 Matches

OFI
38.9
L W L L L W D W L D

Performance Radar

PAOK
OFI

Categories Won

11

PAOK

4

Draw

0

OFI

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 5D, 2L

30%

3W, 2D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+2

+2

-6

-6

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
A. Jeremejeff (4 goals)
T. Fountas (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
17%

1W / 6 matches

17%

1W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
67.0

League Difficulty: 58.9, Opponent Quality: 52.8

51.7

League Difficulty: 54.9, Opponent Quality: 49.6

Elite Opponent Record
100%

1W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.64

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.24

1.22

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.02

Adjusted Power Rating
53.9

Attack: 54.6, Defense: 70.2, Form: 35.1

38.9

Attack: 40.7, Defense: 40.7, Form: 30.5

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

2
1

16-30'

2

31-45'

4
4

46-60'

1
2

61-75'

4
1

76-90+'

1
PAOK
OFI
PAOK

Power Rating Breakdown

53.9

Overall

Attack 54.6
Defense 70.2
Form 35.1
Consistency 62.8
OFI

Power Rating Breakdown

38.9

Overall

Attack 40.7
Defense 40.7
Form 30.5
Consistency 49.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

58.9 vs 54.9

Opponent Quality

52.8 vs 49.6

Elite Opponent Record

100% vs 0%
PAOK logo PAOK
W
Dynamo Kyiv (74%)
D
Panathinaikos (49%)
D
AEK Athens (62%)
D
Olympiakos (50%)
W
Olympiakos (45%)
L
AEK Athens (67%)
D
Panathinaikos (44%)
L
Volos (41%)
OFI logo OFI
L
Go Ahead (52%)
W
Volos (36%)
L
Levadiakos (51%)
L
Aris (63%)
L
Aris (58%)
W
Levadiakos (46%)
D
Volos (41%)
W
Aris (63%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Dynamo Kyiv A
3 - 2 W
74%
Panathinaikos A
2 - 2 D
49%
AEK Athens H
1 - 1 D
62%
Olympiakos A
1 - 1 D
50%
Olympiakos H
3 - 1 W
45%
AEK Athens A
0 - 3 L
67%
Panathinaikos H
0 - 0 D
44%
Volos A
1 - 2 L
41%
Levadiakos H
3 - 0 W
46%
Olympiakos A
0 - 0 D
50%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Go Ahead A
0 - 4 L
52%
Volos H
3 - 1 W
36%
Levadiakos A
2 - 3 L
51%
Aris A
1 - 3 L
63%
Aris H
0 - 2 L
58%
Levadiakos H
2 - 0 W
46%
Volos A
1 - 1 D
41%
Aris A
2 - 0 W
63%
Olympiakos H
0 - 3 L
45%
Volos A
1 - 1 D
41%

AI Analysis

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

PAOK has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 67.0 against considerably stronger competition than OFI (SoS: 51.7). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with PAOK averaging 1.4 and OFI averaging 1.2 goals per match.

Defensively, PAOK holds the advantage — allowing just 1.2 goals per game against OFI's 1.8.

OFI has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 2.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

💡 Why This Matters: The 15.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for PAOK. In practical terms, PAOK would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward PAOK in this contest. Their superior power rating of 53.9, compared to 38.9 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

PAOK

PAOK

VS
OFI

OFI

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

PAOK

3W 5D 2L · 14 goals scored · 12 conceded

OFI

3W 2D 5L · 12 goals scored · 18 conceded

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