Paraguay vs United States Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but when we adjust for opponent quality, the picture becomes even more intriguing. Both teams have earned their statistics against comparable opposition.

Paraguay has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 67.4) compared to United States (SoS: 57.4). This means Paraguay's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

United States possess a formidable attacking unit, with F. Balogun accounting for 4 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.2 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

Paraguay holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 1.1 goals per game and recording 4 clean sheets, compared to United States's leaky backline that surrenders 2.0 goals per match.

Paraguay has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

United States has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Statistical modeling projects 3.2 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: United States has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: In matches this evenly balanced, the deciding factor often comes down to set pieces and individual errors. Both teams should be wary of complacency in a match where neither side has a clear edge.

💡 Why This Matters: Paraguay's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

This is a genuine coin-flip. Both teams are remarkably evenly matched across all metrics, and the outcome will likely be decided by small margins on the day.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup (2026-06-13): United States defeated Paraguay 4-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates United States's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Paraguay. United States secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-1 scoreline was emphatic — United States completely dominated Paraguay in that encounter, raising serious questions about Paraguay's ability to compete at this level. Paraguay will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. United States will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Internationals match (2025-11-15), United States prevailed 2-1 against Paraguay. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. United States secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Paraguay will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. United States will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.