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Compare Paris SG vs Chelsea

Paris SG vs Chelsea Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Paris SG vs Chelsea: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Paris SG Paris SG Home Team
Chelsea Chelsea Away Team
Paris SG
67.9
D L W W D D W W W L

Last 10 Matches

Chelsea
40.0
W L W L D L W L L L

Performance Radar

Paris SG
Chelsea

Categories Won

13

Paris SG

2

Draw

0

Chelsea

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 3D, 2L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
2.0

20 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.9

19 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+8

+8

-7

-7

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
K. Kvaratskhelia (6 goals)
João Pedro (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 10
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

43%

3W / 7 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.8

League Difficulty: 89.3, Opponent Quality: 68.8

59.8

League Difficulty: 82.1, Opponent Quality: 67.0

Elite Opponent Record
40%

2W / 5 matches

14%

1W / 7 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.36

Actual: 2.0 | Diff: -0.36

1.33

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.13

Adjusted Power Rating
67.9

Attack: 79.9, Defense: 71.9, Form: 59.9

40.0

Attack: 43.9, Defense: 40.3, Form: 32.9

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

1
2

16-30'

2
3

31-45'

2
6

46-60'

1
2

61-75'

2
3

76-90+'

4
Paris SG
Chelsea
Paris SG

Power Rating Breakdown

67.9

Overall

Attack 79.9
Defense 71.9
Form 59.9
Consistency 53.2
Chelsea

Power Rating Breakdown

40.0

Overall

Attack 43.9
Defense 40.3
Form 32.9
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

89.3 vs 82.1

Opponent Quality

68.8 vs 67.0

Elite Opponent Record

40% vs 14%
Paris SG logo Paris SG
D
Arsenal (79%)
L
Paris FC (79%)
W
Lens (82%)
W
Brest (46%)
D
Bayern Munich (84%)
D
Lorient (63%)
W
Bayern Munich (79%)
W
Angers (60%)
Chelsea logo Chelsea
W
Wanderers (28%)
L
Sunderland (76%)
W
Spurs (71%)
L
Man City (62%)
D
Liverpool (72%)
L
Forest (76%)
W
Leeds (48%)
L
Brighton (75%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Arsenal H
1 - 1 D
79%
Paris FC A
1 - 2 L
79%
Lens A
2 - 0 W
82%
Brest H
1 - 0 W
46%
Bayern Munich A
1 - 1 D
84%
Lorient H
2 - 2 D
63%
Bayern Munich H
5 - 4 W
79%
Angers A
3 - 0 W
60%
Nantes H
3 - 0 W
53%
Lyon H
1 - 2 L
63%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Wanderers H
6 - 4 W
28%
Sunderland A
1 - 2 L
76%
Spurs H
2 - 1 W
71%
Man City H
0 - 1 L
62%
Liverpool A
1 - 1 D
72%
Forest H
1 - 3 L
76%
Leeds H
1 - 0 W
48%
Brighton A
0 - 3 L
75%
Man Utd H
0 - 1 L
79%
Man City H
0 - 3 L
83%

AI Analysis

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 69.8 vs 59.8), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Paris SG leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.0 goals per game compared to Chelsea's 1.2 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Paris SG's backline outperforms Chelsea's, with 1.2 goals conceded per match versus 1.9.

Paris SG has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Chelsea has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 7 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.2 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Paris SG has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 27.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Paris SG. In practical terms, Paris SG would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Paris SG emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (67.9 vs 40.0) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Paris SG

Paris SG

VS
Chelsea

Chelsea

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Paris SG

5W 3D 2L · 20 goals scored · 12 conceded

Chelsea

3W 1D 6L · 12 goals scored · 19 conceded

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