Partick vs Dunfermline Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 41.6 vs 40.9), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Offensively, Partick outperforms Dunfermline with 2.0 goals per match to 1.4, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Both defenses are comparable, with Partick conceding 1.0 and Dunfermline conceding 1.0 per match.

Statistical modeling projects 2.7 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Dunfermline has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 5.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 64% win probability for Partick. In practical terms, Partick would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Partick, with a 5.7-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Scottish Premiership Play-offs match (2026-05-15), Partick prevailed 2-1 against Dunfermline. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Partick secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Dunfermline will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Partick will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams drew 1-1 in the Scottish Premiership Play-offs (2026-05-12). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.