Partick vs Hearts Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 38.0 vs 34.9), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Few sides can match Hearts in front of goal. Their 2.2 average per fixture tells the story, with C. Johns driving that output personally responsible for 4 goals this campaign.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Hearts — 0.7 goals conceded per game and 5 clean sheets put them well ahead of Partick, who give up 2.0 goals per match at the other end.

Hearts is a strong road performer with a 71% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.8 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Partick is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

🔥 Form Momentum: Hearts is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 22 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Hearts is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while Partick shows signs of decline with 0W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 34.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Hearts. In practical terms, Hearts would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Hearts is the clear and dominant favorite. With a power rating of 60.8 vs 26.7, and superior metrics across the board, Hearts should win this comfortably.

In their recent Scottish SWPL 1 match (2026-04-28), Hearts prevailed 3-0 against Partick. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Hearts secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — Hearts completely dominated Partick in that encounter, raising serious questions about Partick's ability to compete at this level. Partick will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Hearts will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.