Penybont vs Colwyn Bay Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 40.4 vs 44.9), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Offensively, Colwyn Bay outperforms Penybont with 1.0 goals per match to 0.4, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Colwyn Bay has the defensive edge, conceding 1.0 per match compared to Penybont's 1.3.

Colwyn Bay has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 1.9 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Penybont is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Colwyn Bay has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Colwyn Bay is on the rise with 4W in last 10, while Penybont shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 14.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Colwyn Bay. In practical terms, Colwyn Bay would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Colwyn Bay has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 14.0-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

These teams have faced each other 3 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Cymru Premier match (2026-04-25), Penybont prevailed 0-0 against Colwyn Bay. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Penybont achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Colwyn Bay shows genuine quality and mental strength. Colwyn Bay will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Penybont will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams drew 0-0 in the Cymru Premier (2026-03-28). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning. In their recent Cymru Premier match (2026-02-21), Colwyn Bay prevailed 3-1 against Penybont. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Colwyn Bay secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Penybont will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Colwyn Bay will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.