Peterhead vs Hamilton Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 45.3 vs 45.0), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Hamilton possess a formidable attacking unit, with O. Shaw accounting for 5 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.1 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

Both defenses are comparable, with Peterhead conceding 1.4 and Hamilton conceding 1.1 per match.

Peterhead has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Hamilton has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Hamilton has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 2.7 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Peterhead is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Hamilton has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Hamilton is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Peterhead shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 25.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Hamilton. In practical terms, Hamilton would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Hamilton in this contest. Their superior power rating of 59.9, compared to 34.9 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In the Scottish League Cup (2026-07-11), Hamilton eliminated Peterhead with a 0-1 result. Cup matches bring a unique intensity, and Hamilton showed they can handle the pressure. Notably, Hamilton achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Peterhead shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Peterhead will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Hamilton will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Scottish League One match (2026-04-25), Hamilton prevailed 3-1 against Peterhead. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Hamilton secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Peterhead will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Hamilton will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.