Peterhead vs Kelty Hearts Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 45.3 vs 44.3), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Kelty Hearts leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.2 goals per game compared to Peterhead's 0.8 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Peterhead giving up 1.4 and Kelty Hearts giving up 1.4 per fixture.

Peterhead has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Kelty Hearts has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.4 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Peterhead is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Kelty Hearts faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If Peterhead can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 7.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 68% win probability for Kelty Hearts. In practical terms, Kelty Hearts would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

While Kelty Hearts holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 7.0-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In their recent Scottish League One match (2026-05-02), Kelty Hearts prevailed 0-2 against Peterhead. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Kelty Hearts achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Peterhead shows genuine quality and mental strength. Peterhead will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Kelty Hearts will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.