Philadelphia vs DC United Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 51.8 vs 42.4), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Philadelphia leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.2 goals per game compared to DC United's 1.5 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Both defenses are comparable, with Philadelphia conceding 2.1 and DC United conceding 2.1 per match.

Philadelphia has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 4.0 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Philadelphia has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: DC United is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Philadelphia is on the rise with 4W in last 10, while DC United shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Philadelphia faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 2.1 goals per match. If DC United can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 14.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Philadelphia. In practical terms, Philadelphia would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Philadelphia holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 14.3-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.