Pisa vs Napoli Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 52.0 vs 52.9), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Napoli holds the attacking edge with 1.5 goals per match versus Pisa's 1.0, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Defensively, Napoli is far superior, conceding just 0.9 goals per match with 6 clean sheets, while Pisa leaks 1.9 goals per match.

Pisa has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.7 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Pisa is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Napoli has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Napoli is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Pisa shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 21.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Napoli. In practical terms, Napoli would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Napoli holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 55.7 against 33.8 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

In the Italian Serie A (2026-05-17), Napoli beat Pisa 0-3. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Notably, Napoli achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Pisa shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-3 scoreline was emphatic — Napoli completely dominated Pisa in that encounter, raising serious questions about Pisa's ability to compete at this level. Pisa will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Napoli will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.