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Compare Plymouth vs Stevenage

Plymouth vs Stevenage Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Plymouth vs Stevenage: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Plymouth Plymouth Home Team
Stevenage Stevenage Away Team
Plymouth
66.0
W W W W W D W D W L

Last 10 Matches

Stevenage
35.8
W L D L L W D W D L

Performance Radar

Plymouth
Stevenage

Categories Won

10

Plymouth

3

Draw

2

Stevenage

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
70%

7W, 2D, 1L

30%

3W, 3D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
2.0

20 / 10 matches

0.7

7 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+11

+11

-9

-9

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
L. Tolaj (4 goals)
D. Kemp (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 14
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 3
Home Win Rate
33%

1W / 3 matches

50%

3W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
86%

6W / 7 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
46.5

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.5

50.6

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 54.4

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.84

Actual: 2.0 | Diff: +0.16

0.63

Actual: 0.7 | Diff: +0.07

Adjusted Power Rating
66.0

Attack: 64.3, Defense: 67.6, Form: 67.6

35.8

Attack: 23.5, Defense: 46.9, Form: 30.2

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

2
1

31-45'

3

46-60'

2

61-75'

1
4

76-90+'

1
Plymouth
Stevenage
Plymouth

Power Rating Breakdown

66.0

Overall

Attack 64.3
Defense 67.6
Form 67.6
Consistency 63.7
Stevenage

Power Rating Breakdown

35.8

Overall

Attack 23.5
Defense 46.9
Form 30.2
Consistency 53.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

47.5 vs 54.4

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Plymouth logo Plymouth
W
Truro (50%)
W
Torquay (59%)
W
Bath (44%)
W
Northampton (32%)
W
Port Vale (53%)
D
Bradford (50%)
W
Wimbledon (41%)
D
Exeter (42%)
Stevenage logo Stevenage
W
Millwall (47%)
L
West Ham (51%)
D
FC Andorra (56%)
L
Stockport (59%)
L
Stockport (54%)
W
Wigan (47%)
D
Doncaster (66%)
W
Barnsley (43%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Truro A
1 - 0 W
50%
Torquay A
1 - 0 W
59%
Bath A
3 - 0 W
44%
Northampton A
3 - 2 W
32%
Port Vale H
2 - 1 W
53%
Bradford A
1 - 1 D
50%
Wimbledon A
3 - 1 W
41%
Exeter H
2 - 2 D
42%
Barnsley A
3 - 0 W
48%
Bolton H
1 - 2 L
56%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Millwall H
1 - 0 W
47%
West Ham H
0 - 5 L
51%
FC Andorra A
0 - 0 D
56%
Stockport A
0 - 2 L
59%
Stockport H
0 - 1 L
54%
Wigan H
1 - 0 W
47%
Doncaster A
1 - 1 D
66%
Barnsley H
1 - 0 W
43%
Lincoln H
2 - 2 D
61%
Bolton A
1 - 5 L
60%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 46.5 vs 50.6), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Plymouth's attack is on another level, averaging 2.0 goals per match with L. Tolaj leading the charge (4 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

Plymouth's backline outperforms Stevenage's, with 0.9 goals conceded per match versus 1.6.

Plymouth has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Stevenage has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Plymouth is a strong road performer with a 86% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 2.6 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

🔥 Form Momentum: Plymouth is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 20 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Plymouth is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while Stevenage shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 30.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Plymouth. In practical terms, Plymouth would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Our opponent-adjusted metrics point overwhelmingly in one direction: Plymouth holds a commanding advantage here. The power rating gap — 66.0 against 35.8 — reinforces what the underlying numbers already suggest, making Plymouth a strong and justified favorite to win decisively.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Plymouth

Plymouth

VS
Stevenage

Stevenage

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Plymouth

7W 2D 1L · 20 goals scored · 9 conceded

Stevenage

3W 3D 4L · 7 goals scored · 16 conceded

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