Poland vs Albania Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 54.9 vs 53.5), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Poland leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.7 goals per game compared to Albania's 0.9 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Albania's backline outperforms Poland's, with 0.9 goals conceded per match versus 1.3.

Poland has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Albania is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 2.4 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Poland has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Albania has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 8.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 72% win probability for Poland. In practical terms, Poland would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

Poland has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 8.6-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - European (2026-03-26): Poland defeated Albania 2-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Poland's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Albania. Poland secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Albania will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Poland will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.