Port Vale vs Luton Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Port Vale vs Luton: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Port Vale
Home Team
Luton
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Port Vale
Draw
Luton
Statistical Comparison
5W, 2D, 3L
8W, 2D, 0L
15 / 10 matches
23 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
10 / 10 matches
+7
+13
4 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
2W / 5 matches
5W / 5 matches
3W / 5 matches
3W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 52.7
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 46.3
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.07
Actual: 2.3 | Diff: +0.17
Attack: 49.8, Defense: 73.0, Form: 49.8
Attack: 73.4, Defense: 63.9, Form: 76.6
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Port Vale
Luton
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 49.6 vs 45.8), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Offensively, Luton outperforms Port Vale with 2.3 goals per match to 1.5, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.
Both defenses are comparable, with Port Vale conceding 0.8 and Luton conceding 1.0 per match.
Port Vale has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Luton has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Luton has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
Luton is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.
Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.8 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.
📈 Form Momentum: Port Vale has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
🔥 Form Momentum: Luton is in scorching form, winning 8 of their last 10 matches with 23 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.
📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Luton is on the rise with 8W in last 10, while Port Vale shows signs of decline with 5W in last 10.
💡 Why This Matters: The 18.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Luton. In practical terms, Luton would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers point firmly toward Luton in this contest. Their superior power rating of 73.1, compared to 55.0 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Port Vale
Luton
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Port Vale
5W 2D 3L · 15 goals scored · 8 conceded
Luton
8W 2D 0L · 23 goals scored · 10 conceded
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