Portadown vs Ballymena Utd Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (49.2 vs 46.3), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Ballymena Utd holds the attacking edge with 2.1 goals per match versus Portadown's 1.4, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Defensively, Portadown and Ballymena Utd are evenly matched, allowing 1.6 and 1.4 goals per game respectively.

Portadown has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Ballymena Utd has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.2 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Ballymena Utd has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Ballymena Utd faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If Portadown can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 8.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 72% win probability for Ballymena Utd. In practical terms, Ballymena Utd would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

While Ballymena Utd holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 8.9-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In their recent Irish Premiership match (2026-04-18), Portadown prevailed 1-2 against Ballymena Utd. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Portadown achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Ballymena Utd shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Ballymena Utd will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Portadown will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.