Portadown vs Carrick Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 49.2 vs 44.8), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Carrick possess a formidable attacking unit, with P. Heatley accounting for 2 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.4 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

Defensively, Portadown and Carrick are evenly matched, allowing 1.6 and 1.5 goals per game respectively.

Portadown has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Carrick has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Carrick is a strong road performer with a 83% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.5 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

🔥 Form Momentum: Carrick is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 24 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Carrick is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while Portadown shows signs of decline with 4W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Carrick faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.5 goals per match. If Portadown can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 17.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Carrick. In practical terms, Carrick would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Carrick holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 61.0 against 43.3 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Irish Premiership match (2026-08-08), Carrick prevailed 1-0 against Portadown. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Carrick secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Portadown will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Carrick will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams drew 1-1 in the Irish Premiership (2026-04-07). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.