Portugal vs Canada Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 45.5 vs 49.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Portugal's attack is on another level, averaging 3.0 goals per match with João Rego leading the charge with 5 goals. Canada manages just 1.0 per match.

Defensively, Portugal is far superior, conceding just 0.6 goals per match with 2 clean sheets, while Canada leaks 2.2 per match.

Portugal has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Canada has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Portugal is a strong road team with a 100% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.4 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Portugal is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (95.5), defense (76.4), and form (76.4) leaves little room for doubt. Canada will need an exceptional performance to compete.

In their recent Tournoi Maurice Revello match (2026-06-11), Portugal prevailed 6-1 against Canada. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Portugal secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 6-1 scoreline was emphatic — Portugal completely dominated Canada in that encounter, raising serious questions about Canada's ability to compete at this level. Canada will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Portugal will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.