PSV vs Excelsior Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare PSV vs Excelsior: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
PSV
Home Team
Excelsior
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
PSV
Draw
Excelsior
Statistical Comparison
6W, 1D, 3L
4W, 3D, 3L
29 / 10 matches
20 / 10 matches
18 / 10 matches
15 / 10 matches
+11
+5
1 / 10 matches
1 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
4W / 6 matches
1W / 4 matches
2W / 4 matches
3W / 6 matches
League Difficulty: 76.5, Opponent Quality: 63.3
League Difficulty: 76.5, Opponent Quality: 58.0
0W / 3 matches
0W / 2 matches
Actual: 2.9 | Diff: -0.68
Actual: 2.0 | Diff: -0.44
Attack: 99.4, Defense: 41.1, Form: 61.7
Attack: 67.3, Defense: 50.4, Form: 40.4
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
PSV
Excelsior
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 52.8 vs 50.9), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
PSV leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.9 goals per game compared to Excelsior's 2.0 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.
Excelsior has the defensive edge, conceding 1.5 per match compared to PSV's 1.8.
PSV has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 4.1 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.
📈 Form Momentum: PSV has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📈 Form Momentum: Excelsior has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, PSV faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.8 goals per match. If Excelsior can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 12.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 82% win probability for PSV. In practical terms, PSV would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
PSV has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 12.6-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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PSV
Excelsior
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
PSV
6W 1D 3L · 29 goals scored · 18 conceded
Excelsior
4W 3D 3L · 20 goals scored · 15 conceded
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