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Compare PSV vs Groningen

PSV vs Groningen Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare PSV vs Groningen: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

PSV PSV Home Team
Groningen Groningen Away Team
PSV
65.1
L W W D W W W L L W

Last 10 Matches

Groningen
41.5
D L L L W W L L D W

Performance Radar

PSV
Groningen

Categories Won

9

PSV

2

Draw

4

Groningen

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 1D, 3L

30%

3W, 2D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
2.9

29 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+11

+11

-6

-6

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
90%

9 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
90%

9 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
R. Pepi (7 goals)
T. Land (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 19
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
67%

4W / 6 matches

17%

1W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
52.8

League Difficulty: 76.5, Opponent Quality: 63.3

61.3

League Difficulty: 69.5, Opponent Quality: 59.9

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 3 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
3.58

Actual: 2.9 | Diff: -0.68

1.12

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: -0.12

Adjusted Power Rating
65.1

Attack: 99.4, Defense: 41.1, Form: 61.7

41.5

Attack: 37.1, Defense: 51.9, Form: 33.4

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

3

31-45'

1
8

46-60'

4
4

61-75'

9

76-90+'

2
PSV
Groningen
PSV

Power Rating Breakdown

65.1

Overall

Attack 99.4
Defense 41.1
Form 61.7
Consistency 43.3
Groningen

Power Rating Breakdown

41.5

Overall

Attack 37.1
Defense 51.9
Form 33.4
Consistency 49.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

76.5 vs 69.5

Opponent Quality

63.3 vs 59.9

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 50%
PSV logo PSV
L
Villarreal (53%)
W
Twente (62%)
W
Go Ahead (66%)
D
Ajax (76%)
W
Zwolle (48%)
W
Sparta (50%)
W
Utrecht (66%)
L
Telstar (73%)
Groningen logo Groningen
D
Volos (32%)
L
Volendam (43%)
L
AEK Athens (58%)
L
Ajax (76%)
W
Heracles (41%)
W
NEC (73%)
L
Excelsior (64%)
L
Feyenoord (78%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Villarreal H
1 - 3 L
53%
Twente H
5 - 1 W
62%
Go Ahead A
4 - 1 W
66%
Ajax A
2 - 2 D
76%
Zwolle H
6 - 1 W
48%
Sparta A
2 - 0 W
50%
Utrecht H
4 - 3 W
66%
Telstar A
1 - 3 L
73%
NEC H
2 - 3 L
73%
AZ H
2 - 1 W
66%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Volos H
0 - 0 D
32%
Volendam H
0 - 4 L
43%
AEK Athens H
1 - 2 L
58%
Ajax A
0 - 2 L
76%
Heracles A
2 - 1 W
41%
NEC H
2 - 1 W
73%
Excelsior H
2 - 3 L
64%
Feyenoord A
1 - 3 L
78%
Go Ahead H
0 - 0 D
61%
Telstar A
2 - 0 W
73%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 52.8 vs 61.3), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

PSV's attack is on another level, averaging 2.9 goals per match with R. Pepi leading the charge (7 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

Defensively, PSV and Groningen are evenly matched, allowing 1.8 and 1.6 goals per game respectively.

PSV has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Groningen has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: PSV has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. PSV is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Groningen shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, PSV faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.8 goals per match. If Groningen can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 23.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for PSV. In practical terms, PSV would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, PSV holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 65.1 against 41.5 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

PSV

PSV

VS
Groningen

Groningen

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

PSV

6W 1D 3L · 29 goals scored · 18 conceded

Groningen

3W 2D 5L · 10 goals scored · 16 conceded

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