Puerto Rico vs St. Vincent Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

St. Vincent has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 60.8 against considerably stronger competition than Puerto Rico (SoS: 48.6). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

St. Vincent's attack is on another level, averaging 3.0 goals per match with O. Anderson leading the charge (6 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

St. Vincent's backline outperforms Puerto Rico's, with 1.0 goals conceded per match versus 1.7.

St. Vincent has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

St. Vincent has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.5 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: St. Vincent has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.14 points per game over their last 7 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, St. Vincent faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Puerto Rico can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 36.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for St. Vincent. In practical terms, St. Vincent would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, St. Vincent is the clear and dominant favorite. With a power rating of 78.8 vs 42.4, and superior metrics across the board, St. Vincent should win this comfortably.

These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - North/Central America (2025-06-11): Puerto Rico defeated St. Vincent 2-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Puerto Rico's ability to perform on the biggest stage against St. Vincent. Puerto Rico secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. St. Vincent will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Puerto Rico will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.