Hainiu vs Guoan Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 49.3 vs 47.7), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Guoan leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.0 goals per game compared to Hainiu's 1.6 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Guoan — 1.2 goals conceded per game and 3 clean sheets put them well ahead of Hainiu, who give up 2.4 goals per match at the other end.

Hainiu has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Guoan has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.6 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Hainiu is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Guoan has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Guoan is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Hainiu shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 22.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Guoan. In practical terms, Guoan would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Guoan in this contest. Their superior power rating of 58.0, compared to 35.5 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

In their recent Chinese Super League match (2026-05-15), Guoan prevailed 4-2 against Hainiu. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Guoan secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Hainiu will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Guoan will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.