Querétaro vs Juárez Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Juárez has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 54.4 against considerably stronger competition than Querétaro (SoS: 42.7). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

Querétaro (1.1 goals per match) and Juárez (1.2 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.

Querétaro holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.7 goals per game and recording 3 clean sheets, compared to Juárez's leaky backline that surrenders 1.7 goals per match.

Juárez has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 2.4 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Querétaro has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Juárez is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

💡 Why This Matters: The 9.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 73% win probability for Querétaro. In practical terms, Querétaro would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

While Querétaro holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 9.3-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

These two teams drew 1-1 in the Liga MX (2026-04-08). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.